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Perspective

Who Won 2Q26 REIT Earnings Season?

Key Takeaways

  • The REIT recovery broadened in 2Q26, with several sectors showing clearer operating improvement.
  • Scarcity separates the winners, with strong demand and limited new supply supporting pricing power and growth.
  • Selectivity remains critical. We favor sectors with strong fundamentals and companies with the financial flexibility to grow.

Second-quarter REIT earnings were even stronger than the first quarter, although the pace and magnitude of the improvement varied by sector. The biggest change was the breadth of recovery: several sectors that had only been stabilizing in the first quarter began to show clearer operating improvement in the second.

Gold

The Gold Medal sectors combined strong underlying demand with pricing power and a compelling outlook for growth.

Data Centers remained the clear leader. Demand tied to AI, cloud computing and digital infrastructure continues to be exceptionally strong, and landlords are increasingly converting that demand into signed leases, development projects and visible future earnings.

Health Care was another standout. Senior housing continues to benefit from rising occupancy, improving margins and strong demographic demand. Skilled nursing also performed well, supported by healthier operators, favorable reimbursement trends and attractive acquisition opportunities.

Shopping Centers were among the strongest conventional property sectors. Occupancy remains high, leasing spreads are strong and new construction remains limited. That scarcity is giving landlords meaningful pricing power.

Retail Outlets also deserve Gold. Strong tenant demand, healthy sales trends and very favorable leasing economics made them one of the better retail stories of the quarter.

Outdoor Advertising earned Gold as well, supported by solid revenue growth, continued digital expansion and extremely limited new supply.

Demand tied to AI, cloud computing and digital infrastructure continues to be exceptionally strong, and landlords are increasingly converting that demand into signed leases, development projects and visible future earnings.”

Silver

The Silver Medal sectors were strong or improving but still came with some caveats.

Manufactured Housing remained exceptionally healthy, supported by limited new supply, relative affordability and strong occupancy trends.

Industrial real estate also improved meaningfully. Leasing demand strengthened and new supply is beginning to slow, although rent growth remains well below the extraordinary levels of a few years ago.

High-Quality Malls performed better than many investors expected. The strongest properties are benefiting from healthy tenant demand, improving occupancy and limited competition. Weaker malls, however, remain a different story.

Self Storage earned its way up to Silver this quarter. The sector clearly improved from the first quarter, with better revenue and NOI trends and several operators raising guidance. The recovery remains uneven, however, particularly in markets with more new supply, and pricing has not yet fully normalized.

Experiential Real Estate, Single-Family Rentals, and Net Lease properties all had constructive quarters. These sectors generally have attractive long-term fundamentals, but remain somewhat more dependent on capital markets, consumer demand or company-specific execution.

Bronze

The Bronze Medal sectors are moving in the right direction, but the recovery is not yet complete.

Apartments are improving as new supply is absorbed, particularly in the Sunbelt. Leasing trends are getting better, but concessions and pricing pressure have not disappeared.

Office remains the most complicated sector. The best buildings in strong markets are leasing well and seeing improving occupancy, while lower-quality properties remain under pressure. This is increasingly a stock-picking story rather than a broad sector call.

Cold Storage also improved, although conditions still looks more like stabilization than a true return to growth. Cannabis-related real estate showed similar progress, although tenant-credit concerns remain an important consideration.

No Medal This Quarter

The No Medal group continues to include Life Science real estate and Lower-Quality Office properties. In both sectors, persistent challenges related to occupancy, leasing activity and balance-sheet pressures suggest that a sustained recovery has yet to take hold.

What This Means for Investors

Improving earnings do not mean that every REIT is equally attractive. We believe the best opportunities remain in property sectors where demand is growing faster than supply and landlords have the ability to raise rents, develop new properties, or pursue accretive acquisitions.

That currently favors areas such as data centers, health care, and select retail. We remain more cautious on property types where excess supply, weaker tenant demand, or other operating pressures continue to constrain growth.

Biggest Takeway

The biggest takeaway from 2Q26 is that scarcity matters.

The biggest takeaway from 2Q26 is that scarcity matters.”

 

The strongest property types tend to be difficult to build or replace: data centers, senior housing, high-quality retail locations, manufactured housing communities, billboards, and skilled-nursing facilities.

That scarcity gives landlords greater pricing power and supports better long-term growth prospects.

For investors, the lesson is simple: REITs are not one trade. The best opportunities are increasingly found in property types where demand is strong, new supply is limited and companies have sufficient financial flexibility to grow without depending on lower interest rates.

Author: Peter Zabierek, CFA
Senior Portfolio Manager
Easterly Ranger


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